Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?

A special election for Florida's 6th Congressional District is scheduled to take place on April 1, 2025. This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory for Republican Randy Fine. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Randy Fine and the candidate that receives second-most votes. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the two candidates receive by the sum of all votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Randy Fine does not win the most votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Florida has certified the vote for this race. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.