Will Rafael Quispe Flores win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 12, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.2K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 12, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 12 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.4%. Yes opened at 14% on 21 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 21 Jan 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 14% on 21 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 5.5% on 22 Jan 2026. $2.23K traded over the market's life.

20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 12:15 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 21 Jan 2026 – 9 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Jan 2026	14.0%
9 Apr 2026	2.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.77K
Violet Horizon 26CB	Yes	294.76
0xRocket666	Yes	200

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).