Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 3, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$155.3K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 3, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 3 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 17 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2025 to 3 Nov 2025, the highest close was 40.5% on 17 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 3 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 1.9% on 31 Oct 2025. $155.26K traded over the market's life.

85 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 4, 4:28 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 17 Sep 2025 – 3 Nov 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
17 Sep 2025	40.5%
3 Nov 2025	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	47.73K
maulwurf	Yes	14.07K
yizhiyang-jianlaji	Yes	5K

10 of 85 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Party for Freedom (PVV) in the House of Representatives as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Party for Freedom (PVV). This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).