Analytics
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“Will PumpSwap monthly volume hit $35B in 2026?” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “Will PumpSwap monthly volume hit ___ in 2026?”. The Yes price is the crowd's implied probability that the question resolves Yes; every trade on the public order book moves it.
Trading is open until Jan 1, 2027. As of Sep 15, 11:45 PM, Yes trades at 39.5¢, a 39.5% implied chance, $33.58 resting in the order book, a 67.0% bid-ask spread.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 25 hourly price points from Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 15, 2026 (Yes between 39.5% and 39.5%). Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any finalized monthly PumpSwap DEX volume datapoint reported by DefiLlama is equal to or greater than the listed value for any calendar month of 2026 ending after the creation of this market. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The volume value used for resolution is the "DEX Volume" figure shown when hovering over a monthly bar of the volume chart, with the chart set to monthly ("M") granularity; bars correspond to calendar months (UTC). A monthly datapoint must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next month's bar is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure is finalized, or once the December 2026 bar is finalized without the listed value having been met. If any data remains unpublished or unfinalized 2 calendar days (ET) after December 31, 2026 — for any reason, including unavailability of the resolution source — this market will resolve to "No". No substitute data source will be used. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to DefiLlama differing from other sources. Otherwise, once a finalized bar has met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions. The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the PumpSwap volume data published at https://defillama.com/protocol/dexs/pumpswap, as presented there with no filters applied and without additional rounding.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-pumpswap-monthly-volume-hit-35b-in-2026
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ means the crowd gives Yes about a 21.5% chance right now. It moves with every trade, so it is a live forecast, not a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Dollars resting in the order book, waiting to be traded against. Deep liquidity lets a large order fill near the quoted price; thin liquidity means the price jumps when someone trades size.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
The current provider holder request did not complete. No legacy holder rows are being substituted.
Market-scoped trader rows are not available for this market.