
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 12% on 8 Mar 2026.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 11:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 28 Feb 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 994 |
| Gamblingisfunpleaseletmewin | Yes | 199.98 |
| mdgc | Yes | 105 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 World Baseball Classic championship round. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the World Baseball Classic championship round (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 World Baseball Classic competition is cancelled, postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 World Baseball Classic championship matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/world-baseball-classic); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wbc-team-to-make-final
| Lavincey | Yes | 59.1 |
| Small-Lunchmeat | Yes | 24.73 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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