
Resolved No on 16 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 18 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 18 Jan 2024 to 16 Feb 2024, the highest close was 52.5% on 18 Jan 2024 and the lowest 1.1% on 16 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 40.5% on 12 Feb 2024. $16.38K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 16, 2:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 18 Jan 2024 – 16 Feb 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2024 | 52.5% |
| 16 Feb 2024 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pudgy Penguins has a higher floor price than Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) for at least one hour between January 16 and February 15, 2024 ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Blur's chart for each NFT, specifically the red line for 30d sales, for the dates within this market's range (Pudgy Penguins: https://blur.io/collection/pudgypenguins, BAYC: https://blur.io/collection/boredapeyachtclub). If Blur becomes unavailable or ceases to report figures, another credible source may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-pudgy-penguins-flip-bayc-by-february-15
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