Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 18 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 135 daily closes on record from 18 Sep 2025 to 29 Jan 2026, the highest close was 56% on 2 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 50.5% on 21 Oct 2025. $7.17K traded over the market's life.
83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 8:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 135 points, 18 Sep 2025 – 29 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2025 | 50.0% |
| 29 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Neon Orbit 8BD5 | Yes | 307 |
| Azure Meteor 39E9 | Yes | 254 |
| Swift Voyager 39ED | Yes | 248 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the Round of 16 of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from finishing in the top 24 of the league phase), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/champions-league-which-teams-advance-to-round-of-16
| Yes |
| 247 |
| Violet Meteor EDC4 | Yes | 208 |
| Keen Pioneer F4CD | Yes | 200 |
| Lunar Pulse 0AF2 | Yes | 198 |
| Jade Oracle C7CA | Yes | 162 |
| Lunar Harbor E7F3 | Yes | 158 |
| Silver Scout BE51 | Yes | 146.55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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