Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 61.5% on 26 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2026 to 23 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.9% on 22 Mar 2026 and the lowest 61.5% on 26 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 92.5% on 27 Feb 2026.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 2:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 26 Feb 2026 – 23 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2026 | 61.5% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| totalbooster | No | 1K |
| Hajs | No | 276.96 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Project Hail Mary (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on March 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by March 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/project-hail-mary-rotten-tomatoes-score
| No |
| 200 |
| ryana8 | No | 142.43 |
| Cosmic Horizon 485A | No | 6 |
| Bright Kestrel 2293 | Yes | 5 |
| 3umf | No | 5 |
| rikitikitaki | No | 5 |
| PX5300 | Yes | 0.02 |
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