Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63%. Yes opened at 23% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 18 Apr 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 37% on 18 Apr 2026 and the lowest 8% on 9 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 8.5% on 29 Mar 2026. $29.6K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 21, 1:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 18 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 23.0% |
| 18 Apr 2026 | 37.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.4K |
| Slow-Subgroup | Yes | 272.74 |
| Which-Diamond | Yes | 210.77 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election. If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between the two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-parliamentary-election-margin-of-victory
| n.jordanov | Yes | 158.39 |
| EABIUAERUNGDD | Yes | 150.51 |
| Clever-Innovation | Yes | 140 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Rectangular-Moody | Yes | 93.53 |
| daroghi | Yes | 60 |
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