Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 21, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$19.5K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 21, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 21 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 2.7% on 5 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 18 Apr 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 6.5% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 18 Apr 2026. $19.47K traded over the market's life.

45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 22, 6:57 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 18 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
5 Apr 2026	2.7%
18 Apr 2026	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	19.73K
cry.eth2	Yes	3.73K
Keen Raven 30B6	Yes	1.33K
Attractive-Curve	Yes	1.3K

10 of 45 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).