
Resolved No on 28 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 4 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 34.5% on 22 Feb 2026 and the lowest 4% on 26 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 25.5% on 28 Feb 2026. $3.1K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 14.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| asdfasdfasdfaasdf | Yes | 440 |
| Jade Quasar C580 | Yes | 408 |
| qwerfsdvz | Yes | 357 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Mumford and Sons’s new album 'Prizefighter' is scheduled to be released on February 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Mumford and Sons’s album 'Prizefighter', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Prizefighter' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mumford-and-sons-prizefighter-first-week-album-sales
| Yes |
| 357 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 330.98 |
| eeeediot | Yes | 204 |
| 4yjusrgz | Yes | 204 |
| Handy-Sound | Yes | 153 |
| qwerty1233 | Yes | 102 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 60 |
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