Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Feb 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Jan 2023. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2023 to 18 Feb 2023 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98% on 9 Feb 2023 and the lowest 13% on 17 Jan 2023. Its largest one-day move was 67 points up, to 83% on 28 Jan 2023. $48.97K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 10:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 14 Jan 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2023 | 50.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Atlas 735D | No | 20.81K |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | No | 1.57 |
| Vain-Bowling | Yes | 0.52 |
If users can place trades on PredictIt on February 17, 2023, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that trades which are for closing out current positions will not count; only new trades placed will count. If users can still place new trades on PredictIt, even if only outside the US, the market will still resolve to "Yes." If PredictIt launches a new trading platform which accepts users' trades on February 17, 2023, 12:00 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be https://www.predictit.org/ and https://twitter.com/PredictIt, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-predictit-still-support-trading-on-february-17
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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