Analytics
Yes is at 26.5%, up 3 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 8 Oct 2026.
Across the 14 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 23.5% on 8 Oct 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 24 Oct 2026. The current quote, 26.5%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 8.5% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 21%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 21.5% on 13 Oct 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?”.
$45.14K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $198.6K since listing. The order book holds $3.91K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $8.37K bought Yes and $39.18K bought No; the largest was a $2.96K buy of No at 78.5¢.
The largest Yes position is Favorable-Pepper-Brushing with 15.3K shares; the largest No position is 42709 with 9.1K. Ten wallets hold 41.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 8 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | 23.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 15.29K |
| 42709 | No | 9.08K |
| Dokkl | Yes | 8.91K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-predictfun-launch-a-token-by
| Parz1vaI |
| No |
| 8.64K |
| mewmew1 | No | 8.14K |
| i-volunteer-as-tribute | Yes | 8.13K |
| vtat | No | 7K |
| yen4u | No | 6.33K |
| ligmasigma123 | Yes | 6.1K |
| mefirofan | No | 5.95K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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