Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 28% on 14 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 88 daily closes on record from 14 Mar 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28.5% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 28.5% on 18 Mar 2026. $87.9K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 4:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 14 Mar 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | 28.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nomorepredict | Yes | 5K |
| abababba | Yes | 2.51K |
| ruper | Yes | 2.09K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-predictfun-launch-a-token-by
| Snappy-Supply | Yes | 1.47K |
| cryptorocket333 | No | 1K |
| acal | Yes | 821.22 |
| TZ920 | Yes | 589.72 |
| sdiantt | Yes | 413 |
| Anjun | Yes | 333 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 312.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
