Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 4 Apr 2026 to 29 Apr 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 4 Apr 2026 and the lowest 14% on 19 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 23% on 7 Apr 2026. $15.36K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 9:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 4 Apr 2026 – 29 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | 17.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fantastic-Organizing | Yes | 1K |
| opec | Yes | 962.56 |
| cyfra | Yes | 519.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-april-press-conference
| Yes |
| 135.31 |
| Shrill-Oeuvre | Yes | 93.75 |
| Pedra | Yes | 70.56 |
| Ruxpin84 | Yes | 68.82 |
| pollo97 | Yes | 55.56 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 50.76 |
| daroghi | Yes | 50 |
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