Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 64%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2025 to 28 Jan 2026, the highest close was 44.5% on 19 Dec 2025 and the lowest 30% on 20 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 30% on 20 Dec 2025. $17.68K traded over the market's life.
86 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 28 Jan 2026, chart shows 25%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 34.5% |
| 28 Jan 2026 | 36.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lunar Vector 1342 | Yes | 377.01 |
| d3generategambling | Yes | 370 |
| Feminine-Birdcage | Yes | 343.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by January 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DXhLKEC9JQA
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-january-press-conference-639
| Yes |
| 270.88 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| Direct-Originality | Yes | 104.97 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| AmbrosaMa | Yes | 87.38 |
| RunLike | Yes | 80 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Smoking | Yes | 62.33 |
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