Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 19 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2025 to 29 Oct 2025, the highest close was 35.5% on 19 Sep 2025 and the lowest 21.5% on 29 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 26% on 20 Sep 2025. $35.24K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 31, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 19 Sep 2025 – 29 Oct 2025, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2025 | 35.5% |
| 29 Oct 2025 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Erka-RoadTo1M | Yes | 499.99 |
| Nolosschallenge | Yes | 429.64 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 364 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 29, 2025, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement happens by October 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the FOMC Press conference.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-october-press-conference
| Yes |
| 319.58 |
| PMMMR | Yes | 291.58 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 182 |
| OBigBallsO | Yes | 139.54 |
| csigabe123 | Yes | 119.15 |
| RastaBets | Yes | 117.47 |
| Zebb | Yes | 116.11 |
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