Analytics
Resolved No on 15 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 53%. Yes opened at 59.5% on 13 May 2025. Before it settled, the high was 59.5% on 13 May 2025 and the low 47% on 15 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 49.5% on 14 May 2025. $4.2K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 13 May 2025 – 15 May 2025, chart shows 40%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2025 | 59.5% |
| 15 May 2025 | 47.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jade Comet 554B | Yes | 550 |
| Silver Beacon BC5E | Yes | 535 |
| Lunar Scout 86D8 | Yes | 460 |
| Violet Pulse 7CBE | Yes | 400 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give a Framework Review speech on May 15, 2025, at 8:40 AM ET. This market pertains to his scheduled speech as well any appended Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during his scheduled Framework Review speech. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Powell's Framework Review speech scheduled for May 15, 2025, 8:40 AM ET (https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If no such speech happens by May 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-powell-say-during-framework-review-speech-on-may-15
| Jade Vector 0824 | Yes | 30 |
| Misty Comet 896B | Yes | 15 |
| Indigo Horizon 6D35 | Yes | 5 |
| Golden Tide 0088 | Yes | 5 |
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