
Resolved No on 9 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 8 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2025 to 9 Feb 2025, the highest close was 5.5% on 8 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 9 Feb 2025. $17.42K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 10, 4:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Feb 2025 – 9 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2025 | 5.5% |
| 9 Feb 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.37K |
| jan78 | Yes | 500 |
| Ac123 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times President Donald J. Trump (@POTUS), posts on X between February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 14, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-potus-of-tweets-feb-7-14
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