Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5% on 24 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 5% on 24 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 29 Jan 2025. $14.8K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 3:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 24 Jan 2025 – 29 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2025 | 5.0% |
| 29 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.59K |
| paladinstraitss | Yes | 136.25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of times President Donald J. Trump (@POTUS), posts on X between January 22, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 29, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/president-trump-of-tweets-january-22-29
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