Will POTUS tweet 14-16 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 7, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$10.1K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 7, 2025 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 7 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 70.5%. Yes opened at 15% on 1 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2025 to 7 Feb 2025, the highest close was 29.5% on 7 Feb 2025 and the lowest 5.1% on 4 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 20.5% on 6 Feb 2025. $10.08K traded over the market's life.

8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 8, 4:19 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 1 Feb 2025 – 7 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 Feb 2025	15.0%
7 Feb 2025	29.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.97K
Spicy-Sledge	Yes	103.77
Solo322-670	Yes	81.21
Weonjin	Yes	19.11

8 of 8 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the number of times President Donald J. Trump (@POTUS), posts on X between January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and February 7, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.