What is the “Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Which country will Pope Leo visit first?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?
It resolved No on 27 Nov 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the first sovereign country that Pope Leo XIV visits after becoming pope. Italy will not be considered for this market. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Pope Leo XIV physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed country. Whether or not Pope Leo XIV enters the country's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. If Pope Leo XIV doesn't visit any country by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$15.3K
No buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Nov 27, 12:00 AM UTC
53 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 27, 12:52 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-pope-leo-visit-first) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
