Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 60% on 21 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 48 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2025 to 6 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.4% on 6 Jan 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 99.4% on 6 Jan 2026. $276.32K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 10:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 6 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 60.0% |
| 6 Jan 2026 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 524 |
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 457 |
| JamieDavis1524 | No | 382 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://yaps.kaito.ai/infomarkets) at any point between November 20, 2025, and March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://yaps.kaito.ai/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released. The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://yaps.kaito.ai/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://yaps.kaito.ai/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-polymarket-mindshare-hit-70
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 240 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 230 |
| dorisb | No | 214.07 |
| StarryMnemosyne | No | 157.83 |
| VincentBrooks6822 | No | 131 |
| thomas004 | No | 125.88 |
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