Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 9.4%. Yes opened at 6.2% on 25 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 14.5% on 7 Apr 2025 and the low 4.3% on 27 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 14.4% on 26 Apr 2025. $918.48K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 36 points · 25 Mar 2025 – 29 Apr 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2025 | 6.2% |
| 29 Apr 2025 | 9.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Joejie | No | 7.98K |
| JesseDallas | No | 4.52K |
| beedhillon | No | 2.67K |
| Michael0123 | No | 1.94K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The next Canadian general election will take place on April 28, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pierre Poilievre loses his seat in parliament as a result of the next Canadian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-pierre-poilievre-lose-his-seat
| iujjgfyui | No | 1K |
| monkeybrainideas | No | 1K |
| gggd | No | 286.86 |
| Leuthius | No | 205.89 |
| HarrisonYu | No | 200 |
| Flibbertyjibbet | No | 110.56 |
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