Analytics
Resolved No on 6 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 15% on 6 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 139 daily closes on record from 6 Dec 2025 to 6 May 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 18.5% on 25 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 0.2% on 26 Dec 2025. $38K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 6, 3:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 139 points, 6 Dec 2025 – 6 May 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | 15.0% |
| 6 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 29.26K |
| SliwacampaignNYC | Yes | 1.5K |
| HappyAlpha | Yes | 904.92 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio, scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Ohio Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Ohio Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ohio-governor-republican-primary-winner
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 881.7 |
| Misty Summit 3196 | Yes | 666.66 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 499.96 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 427 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 395 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 199 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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