Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10.5% on 6 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 89 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 12.5% on 11 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Dec 2025. $146.75K traded over the market's life.
139 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 6 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2025 | 10.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 7.81K |
| loosygoose | Yes | 3.47K |
| predictionGOAT69 | Yes | 2.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phantom officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Phantom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-phantom-launch-a-token-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 946.3 |
| JTXEXE | Yes | 905.6 |
| Sweaty-Hardware | Yes | 833.33 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 410 |
| Shantaram | Yes | 400 |
| Zigzag-Girlfriend | Yes | 388 |
