Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 70% on 20 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 136 daily closes on record from 20 Aug 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 70% on 20 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 66% on 28 Aug 2025. $79.36K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 136 points, 20 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2025 | 70.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| smartchineseman | Yes | 6.78K |
| 0xn1ce | Yes | 721.2 |
| bilm | Yes | 466.4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phantom's daily builder revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Flowscan, specifically the "Daily Revenue by Builder" bar chart set on "30D" available at https://www.flowscan.xyz/builders?builder=all This market will resolve once any daily total revenue for Phantom is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the bar for "31 Dec 2025" is finalized and no bar within the timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The value displayed when hovering over the bar for "Dec 31, 2025" will be considered finalized once any bar for January 1 is published.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-phantom-daily-builder-revenue-hit-300k-in-2025
| Yes |
| 462 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 436 |
| jsc9 | Yes | 334.99 |
| 0xsimba | Yes | 262.84 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 211 |
| PCMTest | Yes | 200 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 191 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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