Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 3.2% on 13 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 19 Dec 2025, the highest close was 14.1% on 15 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 19 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 14.1% on 15 Dec 2025. $4.17K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 21, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 19 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 3.2% |
| 19 Dec 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.28K |
| zonh | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 884 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 452.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the Android app, ranked #1 in the United States on the Android Play Store's overall Top Charts under "Top free", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the Play Store app, select "Top charts" and click "Top free". Then, under "Top Charts" in the "Top free" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://play.google.com/store/apps).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1-free-app-in-play-store-on-december-19
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 412 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 365 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 172.68 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 150 |
| dengfu | Yes | 129.7 |
| caicao | Yes | 128.15 |
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