Analytics
Yes is at 2.7%, down 42 points from 45% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 43 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 19 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 10 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.8%; a month before, 47%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 14.5% on 30 Sep 2026.
It is one of 12 markets under “What will Pep Guardiola's next job be?”.
$573 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $825.25 since listing. The order book holds $2.54K, with a 1.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 20 trades, $10.96 bought Yes and $553.33 bought No.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 94 shares; the largest No position is newbie77 with 317.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 11:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 45.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 3.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| newbie77 | No | 317 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 94 |
| ViscaElBarca | Yes | 80 |
This market will resolve according to the next club or national team for which Pep Guardiola is officially appointed as manager or head coach, following his departure from Manchester City at the end of the 2025-26 season. Only an appointment as manager or head coach of a senior men's club or national team counts. Non-coaching roles do not count, including his current role as a Global Ambassador for City Football Group, and any sporting director, technical director, advisory, ambassadorial or ownership position. An official announcement by the club or national association before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. If Pep Guardiola has not been officially appointed as a manager or head coach by July 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the appointing club or national association. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-pep-guardiolas-next-job-be
| FFFF3 |
| Yes |
| 40 |
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 40 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 38 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| galhammerman | Yes | 30 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| allofit | Yes | 18.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
