Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.1% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 20 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the price held at 0.1%.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 21, 7:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 20 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.8K |
| DickTurbin | Yes | 47.71K |
| Trim-Trowel | Yes | 34.59K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 33K |
| Remote-Testing | Yes | 27.22K |
| BigFishSushiChief | Yes | 15.87K |
| Zetherka | Yes | 15.7K |
| bsdgew | Yes | 12.13K |
| gsdfa | Yes | 11.67K |
| 213sda | Yes | 11.44K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner
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