Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 27 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 72.5% on 27 Jan 2026 and the low 0.8% on 26 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 25.5% on 28 Jan 2026. $8.52K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 9:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 60 points · 27 Jan 2026 – 28 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2026 | 72.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 8.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yungaozhao | Yes | 226.66 |
| jiaodiyuan | Yes | 222.33 |
| lunbeitan | Yes | 219.29 |
| tailhunter | Yes | 204.71 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any 1-minute candle for Penguin (PENGUIN/SOL) during Q1 2026 (from January 26 to March 31 11:59PM ET) has a final “High” price that implies a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the Penguin token price by the total token supply. The resolution source for this market is Dexscreener, specifically the PENGUIN/SOL price feed available at: https://dexscreener.com/solana/draf8qxqy86h7yehdo9gytxaf6gottt8ozjknwxv6dcs with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles). Only the Dexscreener PENGUIN/SOL price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-fdv-will-penguin-reach-in-q1
| poganshan | Yes | 192.86 |
| huaidudeng | Yes | 189.84 |
| cifugua | Yes | 185.71 |
| nanzhongxian | Yes | 179.76 |
| zhaopukong | Yes | 177.51 |
| huaisibei | Yes | 169.99 |
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