Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 11 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 225 daily closes on record from 11 Dec 2025 to 13 Aug 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42.5% on 11 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 11% on 12 Dec 2025. $13.16K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 13, 3:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 225 points, 11 Dec 2025 – 13 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2025 | 42.5% |
| 13 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 20.79K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 1.88K |
| Rapid Falcon 1279 | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/minnesota-governor-republican-primary-winner
| Indigo Tide 215D | Yes | 654.19 |
| balthazar | Yes | 652.63 |
| Anon321321 | Yes | 448.6 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 291.28 |
| Tiny-Visa | Yes | 278.41 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 264.24 |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 223.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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