Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 26% on 5 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 27% on 16 Sep 2025 and the low 0.4% on 7 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 27% on 16 Sep 2025. $3.36K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 8, 12:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 33 points · 5 Sep 2025 – 7 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2025 | 26.0% |
| 7 Oct 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.1K |
| cowcat | Yes | 744 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 147.5 |
| Firm-Brunch | Yes | 78.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Regional elections are scheduled to take place in Calabria, Italy, on October 5-6, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Regional Council of Calabria (Regione Calabria – Dipartimento Transizione Digitale e Attività Strategiche, https://www.regione.calabria.it/dipartimento-transizione-digitale-ed-attivita-strategiche/aree-tematiche/elezioni-2025/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/calabria-presidential-election
| Sunneverseats | Yes | 71.3 |
| LuckyJhon | Yes | 48.92 |
| Jack18vXv | Yes | 36 |
| tradejoe88 | Yes | 12.5 |
| 0xEC6AD6AEAA9394 | Yes | 0.05 |
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