Will Partido Popular win 31-33 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 9, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.4K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 9, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 9 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 34% on 24 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2026 to 9 Feb 2026, the highest close was 42.5% on 31 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 0.1% on 9 Feb 2026. $2.37K traded over the market's life.

23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 10, 4:23 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 24 Jan 2026 – 9 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Jan 2026	34.0%
9 Feb 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.09K
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	720.35
Lensillo6	Yes	166.61
Nutty-Keyboard	Yes	100.61

10 of 23 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Elections for the autonomous community of Aragon’s unicameral legislature (Cortes) are scheduled for February 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Popular (PP) in the Cortes of Aragon as a result of this election. Any regional branch of Partido Popular will be considered to be the same as Partido Popular. If the results of this election are not definitively known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).