Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.2%. Yes opened at 25% on 13 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 13 Jun 2026 to 27 Jun 2026, the highest close was 98.2% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 16 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 56 points up, to 98.2% on 27 Jun 2026. $3.21K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 1:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 13 Jun 2026 – 27 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jun 2026 | 25.0% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 98.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ROBBATTISTAFANDUELRETARD | No | 747.44 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 26.74 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 20.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team finishes third in its group and is one of the eight best third-placed teams that advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”. The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-third-place-teams-to-advance-20260612150002373
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Plaintive-Ping | No | 5 |
| Lavincey | No | 3 |
| Golden Orbit 4F35 | No | 0.02 |
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