Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 90% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 94 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 5 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99.6% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 84.9% on 8 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 99.2% on 16 Dec 2025.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 6, 5:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 5 Mar 2026, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 90.0% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fang1957 | No | 80 |
| Obiviouslynotaninsider | No | 22 |
| pisia | No | 19.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Paradex (https://www.paradex.trade/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Paradex, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-paradex-launch-a-token-by
| No |
| 5 |
| 26lkkdasdsa | No | 0.93 |
| d.ddd.d..d | Yes | 0.01 |
| KingMeeyok | No | 0.01 |
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