Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 5.1% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 5.1% on 2 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 31 Dec 2025. $20.69K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 8:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 5.1% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 2.19K |
| GUADANHAO | Yes | 2K |
| sabosscoin | Yes | 1.29K |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Paradex (https://www.paradex.trade/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Paradex, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-paradex-launch-a-token-by
| tailevent | Yes | 599.98 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 366.74 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 314 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 284 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 247 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 111.69 |
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