Analytics
“Will Paper Rex make a roster change before September?” is a sports prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. The Yes price is the market's implied probability that the question resolves Yes. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
This market resolved No on 1 Sep 2026. $1.24K traded over its life. The price history, the holders still on the books and the trade tape below are kept as the record of how the crowd priced the question while it was open.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 60 daily price points from Jul 2, 2026 UTC to Sep 1, 2026 UTC (Yes between 0.9% and 57.6%); 7 wallets still holding shares after settlement, the largest ten holding 100.0% of the loaded shares; 36 recent public fills from 20 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Paper Rex's main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on Paper Rex's Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Paper_Rex) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: d4v41, f0rsakeN, something, Jinggg, invy. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by Paper Rex or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Paper_Rex), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-paper-rex-make-a-roster-change-before-september-20260701211436308
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 60 points · 2 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 29.5% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 1.1% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 100 |
| politeste | Yes | 56.46 |
| PPMT |
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Observed closes of the Yes price over the market's life. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| Yes |
| 45 |
| trade333 | Yes | 36.81 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 11 |
| ftr777 | Yes | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
