Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 25 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 25 Apr 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 7.5% on 25 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.6% on 1 May 2025. $6.72K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 25 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2025 | 7.5% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gatej | No | 11.03 |
| Ivory Falcon BBBF | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan officially reopens its airspace to commercial flights by Indian carriers by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A partial reopening will only count if the selection of permitted Indian commercial air carriers constitutes a majority of Indian commercial air traffic. Reopening must be confirmed by official announcements from India and Pakistan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-pakistan-reopen-its-airspace-to-india-before-may
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