Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 4% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 4% on 12 Nov 2025 and the low 0.1% on 22 Dec 2025. $11.23K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 4.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 300 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 241.96 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 147.98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of India between November 11 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by India or Pakistan as of November 11, 2025, 11:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Pakistan, India, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-pakistan-invade-india-in-2025
| SucukAbi | Yes | 127.12 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 104 |
| heynomi | Yes | 99.99 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 97 |
| Nickilista | Yes | 86.49 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 86 |
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