Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?

Resolved

Yes, settled Feb 19, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$100.8K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Feb 19, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 19 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 35% on 11 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 11 Feb 2025 to 19 Feb 2025, the highest close was 100% on 19 Feb 2025 and the lowest 35% on 11 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 88.3% on 16 Feb 2025. $100.79K traded over the market's life.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 19, 5:15 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 11 Feb 2025 – 19 Feb 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
11 Feb 2025	35.0%
19 Feb 2025	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	45K
TimeTraveler	No	2.65K
haihiaf02	Yes	1.19
matachod	Yes	0.06

9 of 9 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to how much “Paddington in Peru” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Paddington-in-Peru-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (February 14 - 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by February 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.