Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 96.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2025 to 15 Nov 2025, the highest close was 99.7% on 14 Nov 2025 and the lowest 96.5% on 11 Nov 2025. $34.49K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 16, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 11 Nov 2025 – 15 Nov 2025, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2025 | 96.5% |
| 15 Nov 2025 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Colorful-Treaty | No | 3.53K |
| Dankwizart420 | No | 2.52K |
| Cmdz | No | 1.09K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.04K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In May 2025, Luke Nichols announced he was ending regular Outdoor Boys uploads to ease the stress of fame and spend more time with his family. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Outdoor Boys posts a YouTube video between November 10 and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Outdoor Boys' main YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@OutdoorBoys/videos). Note: This market refers to Outdoor Boys' regular posted videos. Shorts, previews, or videos on platforms other than YouTube will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-outdoor-boys-post-another-video-by-november-30
| pylo | No | 1K |
| CrowdOracle | No | 942 |
| dontshowmyname | No | 595.57 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | No | 350.55 |
| pedro24 | No | 333.33 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 250 |
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