Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 17 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 97 daily closes on record from 17 Dec 2025 to 9 Apr 2026 (17 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.5% on 17 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 0.9% on 18 Dec 2025. $1.6M traded over the market's life.
117 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 13, 9:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 97 points, 17 Dec 2025 – 9 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Dec 2025 | 46.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.54M |
| serapthyn | Yes | 45K |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 42.12K |
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary in early April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hungary-parliamentary-election-winner
| Yes |
| 37.92K |
| gastronex | Yes | 25K |
| .Friend. | Yes | 25K |
| Germany-007 | Yes | 19.3K |
| marketer44 | Yes | 18K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 14.88K |
| Zetherka | Yes | 8.26K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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