What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 18 Mar 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to how much “Opus” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Opus-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 14 - March 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

4 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Mar 18, 2:37 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/opus-opening-weekend-box-office) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Will 'Opus' gross less than 3m on opening weekend?

Market referencewill-opus-gross-less-than-3m-on-opening-weekendUpdated Mar 18, 2025 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Mar 18, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$57.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Mar 18, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Mar 18, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Mar 18, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

0 / 12.58K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

387

Wallets

218

Loaded notional

$43.94K

Yes buy at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

+47 pts

Range

52.5% - 100.0%

Mar 11, 12:00 AM UTC to Mar 18, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	11.55K	0.0%	$0
TimeTraveler	No	999.99	1.0%

'Opus' Opening Weekend Box Office

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will 'Opus' gross less than 3m on opening weekend?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will 'Opus' gross less than 3m on opening weekend? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “'Opus' Opening Weekend Box Office”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 18 Mar 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve according to how much “Opus” (2025) will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Opus-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 14 - March 16) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

Indigo Signal 2966

11.55K

0.0%

TimeTraveler

999.99

1.0%