Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 25 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2023 to 1 Aug 2023, the highest close was 65.5% on 25 Jul 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 31 Jul 2023. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 7.5% on 30 Jul 2023. $37.62K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 6:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 25 Jul 2023 – 1 Aug 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2023 | 65.5% |
| 1 Aug 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ghighi | Yes | 500 |
| pinkstenis | Yes | 0.48 |
| Coral Horizon 554D | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on how much 'Oppenheimer' (2023) will gross domestically on its second weekend. The “Domestic Daily” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3725886209/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for each of the the 3 days consisting of this movie's second weekend (July 28 - July 30) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Oppenheimer' (2023) grosses more than $50,000,000 on its second weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If there is no final data available by August 7, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3725886209/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-oppenheimer-gross-over-50m-on-its-second-weekend
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