Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 2 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 26.5% on 25 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 5.9% on 26 Feb 2026. $2.63K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 2 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 26.5% |
| 2 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 26.55K |
| rated | Yes | 4.67K |
| yzhaobk-nrt | Yes | 861.44 |
| 888Liam | Yes | 556.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the first date (in ET) on which Opinion launches its governance token. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Opinion (https://x.com/opinionlabsxyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-the-opinion-token-launch-be-425
| Squiggly-Midcourse | Yes | 350 |
| costcostaff01 | Yes | 324 |
| orik321 | Yes | 288.37 |
| canucno1 | Yes | 248.2 |
| Anon321321 | Yes | 229.99 |
| paspor | Yes | 168 |
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