Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 88.5% on 27 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 227 daily closes on record from 27 Jan 2026 to 1 Oct 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95% on 1 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 51% on 17 Mar 2026. $152.23K traded over the market's life.
162 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 2:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 227 points, 27 Jan 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2026 | 88.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sidnoidnf | Yes | 4.98K |
| Shocked-Petticoat | Yes | 2.67K |
| 0xcrag | Yes | 2K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Opensea officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Opensea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-opensea-launch-a-token-by-142
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| fwed33 | No | 1.15K |
| qoxldtls | Yes | 1K |
| lolbettor1 | Yes | 1K |
| stablekang | Yes | 984.35 |
| w000t | Yes | 890.19 |
| simulation | Yes | 625.63 |
| VKodipunjula | Yes | 554 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
