Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 27% on 18 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2023 to 1 Oct 2023, the highest close was 27% on 18 Jul 2023 and the lowest 1.5% on 23 Sep 2023. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 7% on 19 Jul 2023. $4.84K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 6:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 18 Jul 2023 – 1 Oct 2023, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2023 | 27.0% |
| 1 Oct 2023 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Partial-Boost | Yes | 1.29K |
| leoleoleoleo | Yes | 333.48 |
| mjrbobo | Yes | 26.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenSea announces a token by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Announces a token by September 30" means they confirm by September 30 that they will have a token, regardless of when the token actually launches. The resolution source is OpenSea (https://opensea.io/blog/, https://twitter.com/opensea, https://pro.opensea.io/, etc.). OpenSea Pro announcing a token also counts for this market. OpenSea announcing NFTs wont count as announcing a token.
Resolution source: https://opensea.io/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-opensea-announce-a-token-by-september-30
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