Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 30?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$18.9K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 11, 2025 UTC

TradesThe most recent trades, newest first.

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Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
gltt420	buy	Yes	0.1%	1K	Dec 11, 7:02 PM UTC
SaylorMoon	sell	Yes	0.1%	3.73K	Dec 11, 6:07 PM UTC
Ahpo	buy	No	99.7%	95	Dec 11, 6:07 PM UTC
probability	sell	Yes	0.2%	422	Dec 11, 6:05 PM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.3%	3.31	Dec 11, 6:01 PM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.2%	25.27	Dec 11, 6:00 PM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.1%	8.15	Dec 11, 5:53 PM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.2%	11.82	Dec 11, 5:52 PM UTC
k1tten	buy	No	99.7%	20	Dec 11, 5:50 PM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.2%	2.78	Dec 11, 5:50 PM UTC
MurphySolo	buy	Yes	0.2%	550	Dec 11, 11:02 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	45.01	Dec 11, 9:30 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	134.63	Dec 11, 9:19 AM UTC
Tysha	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 9:19 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	40	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	9	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	40	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	40	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	45	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	80	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	95	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
itsjustcheddar	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	132.67	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 9:18 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 9:12 AM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 9:10 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	31.25	Dec 11, 9:09 AM UTC
Panopticon007	buy	Yes	0.2%	500	Dec 11, 9:09 AM UTC
Panopticon007	buy	Yes	0.2%	500	Dec 11, 9:07 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	70.9	Dec 11, 9:07 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	56	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	40	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	5	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	100	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	24	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	19	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	54.96	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	16	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	60	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	25.01	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	45.91	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
itsjustcheddar	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	81	Dec 11, 8:54 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	4	Dec 11, 8:42 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	89.34	Dec 11, 8:35 AM UTC
oVyg7f	buy	No	99.9%	61.52	Dec 11, 8:31 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	104.8	Dec 11, 8:31 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	23.2	Dec 11, 8:31 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	26.21	Dec 11, 8:30 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	27.57	Dec 11, 8:30 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	35.58	Dec 11, 8:30 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	96.64	Dec 11, 8:27 AM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 8:26 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	37.5	Dec 11, 8:18 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	169.66	Dec 11, 8:18 AM UTC
trader-c88956da	buy	No	99.9%	1.26	Dec 11, 8:02 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	1.26	Dec 11, 8:02 AM UTC