Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 26?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$15.7K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 11, 2025 UTC

TradesThe most recent trades, newest first.

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Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
Marpeap	buy	Yes	0.1%	1K	Dec 11, 6:37 PM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	31.25	Dec 11, 9:09 AM UTC
Panopticon007	buy	Yes	0.2%	500	Dec 11, 9:09 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	70.9	Dec 11, 9:07 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	56	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	40	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	5	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	100	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	24	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	19	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
wokerjoesleeper	buy	No	99.9%	54.96	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	60	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	25.01	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
itsjustcheddar	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	45.91	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	16	Dec 11, 9:06 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	89.34	Dec 11, 8:35 AM UTC
oVyg7f	buy	No	99.9%	61.52	Dec 11, 8:31 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	23.2	Dec 11, 8:31 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	104.8	Dec 11, 8:31 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	27.57	Dec 11, 8:30 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	35.58	Dec 11, 8:30 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	26.21	Dec 11, 8:30 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	96.64	Dec 11, 8:27 AM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 8:26 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	37.5	Dec 11, 8:18 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	169.66	Dec 11, 8:18 AM UTC
trader-c88956da	buy	No	99.9%	1.26	Dec 11, 8:02 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	1.26	Dec 11, 8:02 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	45.59	Dec 11, 7:55 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	100	Dec 11, 7:52 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	80.75	Dec 11, 7:51 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	60	Dec 11, 7:51 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	44.91	Dec 11, 7:37 AM UTC
EdwardLewis	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 7:36 AM UTC
shine	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 7:36 AM UTC
Tysha	buy	No	99.9%	10.72	Dec 11, 7:36 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	8.64	Dec 11, 7:28 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	21.99	Dec 11, 7:28 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	50	Dec 11, 7:28 AM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.1%	10.44	Dec 11, 7:26 AM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.1%	5.47	Dec 11, 7:26 AM UTC
itsjustcheddar	buy	No	99.9%	40	Dec 11, 7:25 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	10	Dec 11, 7:20 AM UTC
itsjustcheddar	buy	No	99.9%	30	Dec 11, 7:20 AM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.1%	25.1	Dec 11, 7:16 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.9%	40	Dec 11, 7:16 AM UTC
oVyg7f	sell	Yes	0.1%	17	Dec 11, 7:14 AM UTC
Hourglass	buy	No	99.9%	20	Dec 11, 7:03 AM UTC
influenz.eth	buy	No	99.9%	10	Dec 11, 7:03 AM UTC
Tysha	buy	No	99.9%	30.01	Dec 11, 6:59 AM UTC
Tysha	buy	No	99.8%	20	Dec 11, 6:59 AM UTC
oVyg7f	buy	No	99.8%	11	Dec 11, 6:55 AM UTC
anciente	buy	No	99.8%	30	Dec 11, 6:55 AM UTC
oVyg7f	buy	No	99.8%	11.32	Dec 11, 6:55 AM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.8%	10	Dec 11, 6:55 AM UTC
cigarettes	buy	No	99.8%	20	Dec 11, 6:55 AM UTC